Ea Carolina
W-L: (22-10) PR = 94.6697Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A UNC-Wilm CA ( 6-24, 91.6) 82-63 1107 H Liberty CUSA (16-13, 94.2) 53-69 1111 A Char So BSO ( 8-22, 91.8) 91-62 1116 H High Point BSO (25- 6, 94.2) 68-84 1121 H Old Dominion SB (18-14, 94.5) 67-73 1126 H UCF B12 (11-20, 94.4) 61-75 1127 A Illinois St MV (23-13, 94.4) 73-66 1128 A Hofstra CA (11-22, 92.5) 72-53 1203 H Jam Madison SB (26- 9, 95.6) 66-83 1207 A Elon CA (15-16, 93.0) 64-53 1214 A UNC-Ash BSO (11-19, 91.5) 75-61 1217 A Wofford SO (13-13, 93.2) 80-59 1221 A Campbell CA (19-12, 93.5) 81-59 1230 A UAB AME (11-19, 93.5) 88-87 103 A Memphis AME (10-21, 93.3) 74-65 106 H No Texas AME (18-14, 94.6) 63-87 110 A Wichita St AME ( 7-23, 93.0) 83-56 113 A Tulsa AME (19-12, 94.6) 79-48 117 A Temple AME (15-17, 94.4) 81-65 120 A Texas-SA AME (16-17, 94.6) 65-58 124 A UAB AME (11-19, 93.5) 87-61 127 H Wichita St AME ( 7-23, 93.0) 54-63 130 A Charlotte AME (38-24, 94.3) 67-61 204 A So Florida AME (20-12, 95.4) 64-62 210 A Tulane AME (11-20, 93.5) 65-61 214 A Temple AME (15-17, 94.4) 79-73 217 A Florida Atl AME (13-18, 93.8) 74-61 221 H Rice AME (31- 5, 96.0) 58-60 225 H Memphis AME (10-21, 93.3) 34-88 228 A Charlotte AME (38-24, 94.3) 64-57 307 A Tulsa AME (19-12, 94.6) 76-61 313 H Texas-SA AME (16-17, 94.6) 44-54
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A UNC-Wilm 82-63 19 3 0.00
1107 H Liberty 53-69 -16 0 - -2.44
1111 A Char So 91-62 29 3 0.00
1116 H High Point 68-84 -16 0 - -2.49
1121 H Old Dominion 67-73 -6 0 - -2.20
1126 H UCF 61-75 -14 0 - -2.25
1127 A Illinois St 73-66 7 0 1.72
1128 A Hofstra 72-53 19 2 0.00
1203 H Jam Madison 66-83 -17 -1 -1.03
1207 A Elon 64-53 11 2 0.37
1214 A UNC-Ash 75-61 14 3 0.00
1217 A Wofford 80-59 21 1 0.51
1221 A Campbell 81-59 22 1 0.80
1230 A UAB 88-87 1 1 -0.17
103 A Memphis 74-65 9 1 0.62
106 H No Texas 63-87 -24 0 - -2.03
110 A Wichita St 83-56 27 2 0.30
113 A Tulsa 79-48 31 0 1.90
117 A Temple 81-65 16 0 1.74
120 A Texas-SA 65-58 7 0 1.90
124 A UAB 87-61 26 1 0.83
127 H Wichita St 54-63 -9 2 - -3.72
130 A Charlotte 67-61 6 0 1.67
204 A So Florida 64-62 2 -1 + 2.77
210 A Tulane 65-61 4 1 0.88
214 A Temple 79-73 6 0 1.74
217 A Florida Atl 74-61 13 1 1.17
221 H Rice 58-60 -2 -1 -0.64
225 H Memphis 34-88 -54 1 - -3.40
228 A Charlotte 64-57 7 0 1.67
307 A Tulsa 76-61 15 0 1.90
313 H Texas-SA 44-54 -10 0 - -2.12
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1107 H Liberty 53-69 -16 0 - -2.44 1116 H High Point 68-84 -16 0 - -2.49 1121 H Old Dominion 67-73 -6 0 - -2.20 1126 H UCF 61-75 -14 0 - -2.25 106 H No Texas 63-87 -24 0 - -2.03 127 H Wichita St 54-63 -9 2 - -3.72 225 H Memphis 34-88 -54 1 - -3.40 313 H Texas-SA 44-54 -10 0 - -2.12 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 204 A So Florida 64-62 2 -1 + 2.77 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A UNC-Wilm ( 6-24, 91.6) 82-63 -8.34 2.62 0.01 0.95 4.99
3 H Liberty (16-13, 94.2) 53-69 -5.66 5.30 -0.01 0.95 -2.69
3 A Char So ( 8-22, 91.8) 91-62 -8.11 2.85 0.01 0.95 5.42
3 H High Point (25- 6, 94.2) 68-84 -5.71 5.25 -0.01 0.95 -2.71
3 H Old Dominion (18-14, 94.5) 67-73 -5.42 5.54 -0.01 0.95 -2.57
3 H UCF (11-20, 94.4) 61-75 -5.47 5.49 -0.01 0.95 -2.60
3 A Illinois St (23-13, 94.4) 73-66 -5.52 5.44 0.01 0.95 10.35
3 A Hofstra (11-22, 92.5) 72-53 -7.36 3.60 0.01 0.95 6.85
3 H Jam Madison (26- 9, 95.6) 66-83 -4.25 6.71 -0.01 0.95 -2.02
3 A Elon (15-16, 93.0) 64-53 -6.87 4.09 0.01 0.95 7.77
3 A UNC-Ash (11-19, 91.5) 75-61 -8.37 2.59 0.01 0.95 4.94
3 A Wofford (13-13, 93.2) 80-59 -6.73 4.23 0.01 0.95 8.04
3 A Campbell (19-12, 93.5) 81-59 -6.44 4.52 0.01 0.95 8.59
3 A UAB (11-19, 93.5) 88-87 -6.41 4.55 0.01 0.95 8.65
3 A Memphis (10-21, 93.3) 74-65 -6.62 4.34 0.01 0.95 8.26
3 H No Texas (18-14, 94.6) 63-87 -5.25 5.71 -0.01 0.95 -2.49
3 A Wichita St ( 7-23, 93.0) 83-56 -6.94 4.02 0.01 0.95 7.65
3 A Tulsa (19-12, 94.6) 79-48 -5.34 5.62 0.01 0.95 10.68
3 A Temple (15-17, 94.4) 81-65 -5.50 5.46 0.01 0.95 10.37
3 A Texas-SA (16-17, 94.6) 65-58 -5.34 5.62 0.01 0.95 10.68
3 A UAB (11-19, 93.5) 87-61 -6.41 4.55 0.01 0.95 8.65
3 H Wichita St ( 7-23, 93.0) 54-63 -6.94 4.02 -0.01 0.95 -3.29
3 A Charlotte (38-24, 94.3) 67-61 -5.57 5.39 0.01 0.95 10.23
3 A So Florida (20-12, 95.4) 64-62 -4.47 6.49 0.01 0.95 12.33
3 A Tulane (11-20, 93.5) 65-61 -6.36 4.60 0.01 0.95 8.74
3 A Temple (15-17, 94.4) 79-73 -5.50 5.46 0.01 0.95 10.37
3 A Florida Atl (13-18, 93.8) 74-61 -6.08 4.89 0.01 0.95 9.29
3 H Rice (31- 5, 96.0) 58-60 -3.86 7.10 -0.01 0.95 -1.83
3 H Memphis (10-21, 93.3) 34-88 -6.62 4.34 -0.01 0.95 -3.14
3 A Charlotte (38-24, 94.3) 64-57 -5.57 5.39 0.01 0.95 10.23
3 A Tulsa (19-12, 94.6) 76-61 -5.34 5.62 0.01 0.95 10.68
3 H Texas-SA (16-17, 94.6) 44-54 -5.34 5.62 -0.01 0.95 -2.54
------
167.86
|
winning pts = 193.7622 losing points = -25.8983
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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